Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

Showdown in November Fearsome Blue Wave or Flaccid Democrat Failure

Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll - KVOA | KVOA.com | Tucson, Arizona

"That's what makes this plan a particularly tough sell for Republican House candidates here", Murray said. "I'm choosing to invest it to fight the administration's flawed policies and to elect Democrats to the Senate and House of Representatives".

Republicans owe part of their improved standing to Trump's thawing job ratings.

Overall, she's seen more unfavorably than favorably by 48-33 percent among registered voters; one in five have no opinion. "If these results hold, we could be down to just one or two-or maybe even zero-Republican members in the state congressional delegation after November".

Monmouth pollers say this puts all five of New Jersey's GOP-held seats at risk. Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to capture the majority. Exactly the CNN poll had showed a Democratic advantage in February.

The Post-ABC poll finds parity in stated voting intentions.

A 10-point Democratic lead among all adults narrows to 4 points among registered voters and 5 points among those who say they're both registered and certain to vote; neither of those is statistically significant. This contrasts with Post-ABC polling ahead of the 2010 and 2014 midterm cycles, when Republicans averaged a double-digit advantage in intentions to vote and Democrats suffered major losses in both years.

The poll also found that the Republicans' tastes were in line with previous election results in the seven districts together with Democrats at the House. What a renewing change that would be: a government where both parties work together for the benefit of all.

Some core constituencies for each party expressed tepid interest in turning out to vote in an off-year election, when many eligible voters typically stay home. Just 20 percent said they expected a tax cut.

Should the Democrats carry the midterm elections, they must be magnanimous in victory. They are pushing for a measure to be included on the ballot that repeals the increase. Those who do say it's "extremely important" that the candidate have their views on Trump "favor the Democrats over Republicans by 11 points, 54 percent to 43 percent". Democrats are counting on strong turnout among women to help their candidates in November.

Almost 58 percent of voters oppose the tax increase, including 39 percent who say they strongly reject the legislation, according to a survey the University of California, Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies conducted shortly after the measure passed.

Additionally, Klarman has donated roughly $2 million to left-leaning nonprofits organizations pushing gun control, environment protections and other initiatives. In the Senate, the GOP advantage is slimmer, with 51 Republicans, 47 Democrats and two independents that caucus with the Democrats.

The 19-percentage-point gap in favor of Democrats in New Jersey is significantly wider than the generic House vote edge of nine points in a national poll last month.

Pelosi has a negative image, with 32 percent of Americans holding a favorable view of her, and 44 percent unfavorable. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly.

The Post-ABC poll reached 1,002 adults from April 8-11. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for the full sample and 3.9 percentage points for registered voters.

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