Residents in the Florida Panhandle and south Georgia need to stay aware and prepared for impacts from Tropical Storm Michael, which is forecast to reach the coast by Wednesday.
In the Washington DC region we are expecting a plume of deep tropical moisture associated with Michael to enhance our threat of rain, showers & t-storms Thursday ahead of a cold front. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecasted during the next day or so.
Since the storm will spend two to three days over the Gulf of Mexico, which has warm water and favorable atmospheric conditions, "there is a real possibility that Michael will strengthen to a major hurricane before landfall", Robbie Berg, a hurricane specialist at the Miami-based storm forecasting hub, wrote in an advisory.
"You cannot hide from storm surge, so get prepared and get out if evacuations are ordered".
The fact there have been these events in recent weeks and months does mean that for some global re/insurance players, aggregate and attritional losses have been mounting, meaning that any sizeable losses from hurricane Michael could see reinsurance and retrocessional arrangements quickly coming into play.
The storm could strengthen into a hurricane by Monday night or Tuesday as its center moves over the Yucatan Channel, crosses the Gulf of Mexico and nears the Florida Panhandle coast sometime Wednesday.
By 11 a.m. Monday, Michael's top sustained winds were around 75 miles per hour (120 kph).
Scott addressed reporters Sunday afternoon at the state Emergency Operations Center.
Michael's maximum sustained winds increased to 90 miles per hour on Monday night, the National Hurricane Center reported in its 11 p.m. EST update.
Godsey said winds in the tropical storm range could result in downed trees and power outages.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
As we head into the start of the week, all eyes turn to the Gulf of Mexico, where Tropical Storm Michael is gaining strength.
Scott said the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and southern Georgia will see 4 to 8 inches, with isolated areas facing 12 inches.
A forecast track for Tropical Storm Michael as of 5 p.m. on Sunday, Oct. 7, 2018.
They also believe that Michael will produce four to eight inches of rain in Western Cuba, with maximum amounts of 12 inches. He returned to Tallahassee Sunday morning to oversee the state's response to the storm.
As the track stands right now, tropical storm force winds will be the main concern.